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Advice on Conditions Pertaining to the Contaminated Areas
of Ukraine, Belarus and Russia Background
This guidance is for people living and working for extended
periods with their families and children in those areas contaminated by the fallout from
the Chernobyl accident.
Several scientific publications provide the background for
this advice. Several of these relate to the 1990-91 "International Chernobyl
Project". This project involved some 200 experts from 25 countries and 7
international organizations, who carried out their work under the Chairmanship of Prof.
Shigematsu of the Radiation Effects Research Foundation in Hiroshima. The full
documentation included a Technical Report, an Overview, A Brochure, a Broadsheet and a
Contamination Map. A second major source of information is the proceedings of the IAEA/WHO/EC
International Conference: One Decade after Chernobyl - summing up the consequences of the
accident (held in Vienna in April 1996). Associated publications include the
results of
the conference, an IAEA
Bulletin dedicated to the conference, and a public information
brochure. The Agency's Division of Publications
can provide printed copies of these on request. The most recent source
of internationally accepted information on radiological consequences of
the Chernobyl accident is the UNSCEAR 2000 Report to the General Assembly
on Sources and Effects of Ionizing Radiation, United Nations, New York,
2000, V.II: Effects. Annex J: Exposures and effects of the Chernobyl
accident.
Salient points
The main features concerning the contamination situation
may be summarised as follows:
- The most significant radiation dose to the populations of
Belarus, Ukraine and parts of Russia came from radioiodine, principally the short lived
radionuclide Iodine-131, in the first few weeks after the accident. This radionuclide
produced high exposures to the thyroids of many members of the public, especially of
children. We know that exposure to radioiodine can lead to an increase in the risk of
thyroid cancer. There has been an increase in cases of childhood thyroid cancer in
Belarus, Ukraine and Russia and they are almost certainly as a direct result of exposure
to radioactive iodine. Since Iodine-131 has an eight-day half-life, and has now completely
vanished, the group at risk of contracting thyroid cancer are young children who were
drinking contaminated milk and eating foodstuffs in May and June 1986. However, there
is NO increased risk of thyroid cancer to anyone moving into and living and working
in these areas now.
- The residual low-level radiation now in the contaminated
areas is dominated by the long-lived radionuclide, caesium-137 (which has a half-life of
30 years). This radionuclide is readily detectable in some foods and in soil in these
areas, and can even be detected in trace amounts outside the areas. In any case
state-supplied food is reportedly controlled to criteria that are more stringent than
those recommended by FAO/WHO for foods moving in international trade. It is possible that
some home-produced foods (mainly wild foods - such as mushrooms, berries, and
game) can exceed the levels used by the state for control, and given current economic
conditions may be found on the black market. To reduce
intake of caesium-137 in inhabitants of contaminated areas of Belarus,
Ukraine and Russia it is advisable to boil mushrooms collected in local
areas for a few minutes and to remove the obtained liquid. Nevertheless even if this food
were consumed inadvertently and occasionally this would not give rise to substantial
risks.
- In some contaminated areas there are local restrictions in
force on access (particularly to forests), and warning about, for example, picking
mushrooms, but there are no areas outside the exclusion zone that cannot be visited
safely. People previously living in some settlements in the more highly contaminated areas
have been resettled to other areas. This has been done in order that they can avoid
accumulating radiation doses over their entire lifetimes. However, short visits even to
these areas do not constitute a hazard.
- The doses and risks of living in the contamination zones can
be estimated very roughly according to the zone of contamination as follows:
1
Ci/km2 of caesium-137 corresponds to an additional lifetime
dose to someone living and working there all their life (since 2000) of
1 to 3 mSv depending on local natural conditions.
The average dose to the world population from natural background
radiation is about 2.4 mSv per year. Over a lifetime the dose from
natural background radiation corresponds to about 2.4 ´70
= 168 mSv. Thus spending the rest of one’s life living in the zone
with contamination of 1 Ci/km2 represents an increase of
1/168 to 3/168 or 0.6% to 1.8% in one’s radiation dose (excluding any
doses received during medical practices).
Associated with this increase in the lifetime dose, there
is a statistical increase in the risk of fatal cancer. This amounts to a chance of
less than 1 in 10 000 of death from cancer due to Chernobyl to someone spending their entire
life in this same zone. Since, at least in western countries, 1 in 5 deaths are
due to cancer, this corresponds to a statistical increase of less than 0.1 % over the norm.
For people living in these areas for shorter but extended
periods of time, the doses and risks would be correspondingly less. And for people living
in the zones of higher contamination the doses and risks are correspondingly higher (e.g.
for someone spending their entire life in an area with 15 Ci/km2
of contamination would correspond to a statistical increase in the risk of death from
cancer of less than 0.1% x 15 = 1.5 % over the norm. This estimate does not include
doses that anyone living in these areas received in previous years but are solely to
estimate risks of living in these areas now and in the future.
It should be noted that neither Kiev nor Minsk lie within
any of these zones, and living in either of these cities means that doses and risks are
considerably less than those stated in the preceding two paragraphs. Indeed the additional
radiation doses are much smaller than the differences in the natural background doses
between some parts of Europe, e.g. between the U.K. and Finland, and even the northern
part of Italy compared with the south.
The 30-km "exclusion" zone remains
`out-of-bounds' to the public, although official visits can be arranged and suitable
radiation protection precautions will and should be carried out.
Summary
In summary, the recommendations that could be considered
are as follows:
- Inhabitants and workers in Kiev and Minsk need take no
special precautions about radiation exposure or commercially available foodstuffs,
although some wild foods found on the black market can sometimes
exceed the state imposed restrictions.
- Special radiation protection conditions pertain to visits to
the 30-km exclusion zone.
- In some of the contaminated areas, special advice may be
available locally that will vary from district to district. Nevertheless, there is
certainly no significant hazard for short casual or tourist visits.
- Local advice and results of site monitoring are advisable
for entrepreneurs and companies wishing to set up joint ventures and/or businesses in the
contaminated areas.
While this advice is given in good faith, neither the
Agencys Member States nor its Secretariat can be held legally responsible for its
accuracy or applicability.
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