Waste Technology Section
Underground Research Facilities Network (URF)
Regional Training Course On Identifying And Managing Uncertainty For Post-Closure Safety Assessment In Support Of Repository Development Programmes
18—22 June 2012, Lisbon, PortugalHeld jointly with DISPONET
day 1
Welcome, introduction to course
Introduction to uncertainty
Uncertainty in radioactive waste repository management
International standards and regulatory requirements
Overview of main elements in a disposal safety case
Overview of safety assessment approaches and methodologies
day 2
Introduction to exercise
Describing uncertain variables
Exercise – describing uncertain variables
Uncertainty in conceptual models and scenarios
Expert judgment and Bayesian updating
day 3
Propagation of uncertainty through calculations
Exercise – Propagating uncertainty in calculations
Exercise – Uncertainty in conceptual models
Exercise – Uncertainty in scenarios
day 4
Exercise – Summarise uncertainty in assessment, present and discuss
Strategies for treatment of uncertainty and discussion
day 5
Examples of how uncertainty has been managed and communicated
Exercise – Develop a plan for managing uncertainty
Discussion of work activities
Course summary

Group Picture taken at the Regional Training Course on Identifying and Managing Uncertainty for Post-Closure Safety Assessment in Support of Repository Development Programmes - 18—22 June, Lisbon, Portugal
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